NFL Free Pick – Sunday, January 2, 2010
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints
Sunday, January 2, 2010 at 1:00 PM EST on FOX
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The Buccaneers remained alive in the playoff chase with a dominating win over Seattle last week, but they still need a win and some help to get in. Tampa Bay was crushed by the Saints 31-6 at home earlier this season so it remains to be seen what will be different this time around at the Superdome.
The Saints still have an outside shot at winning the South and getting a first round bye, but the Falcons would have to lose to Carolina and that is not going to happen. It appears that they will get the second easiest road by playing the winner of the Rams and Seahawks game in the first round.
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last seven games in New Orleans and 6-1 ATS in its last seven games in New Orleans, but the Saints are 4-1 ATS in the last five meeting overall. The Saints have won seven of their last eight games and are not about to have a letdown at home against the Bucs.
The odds makers have the New Orleans Saints as a -8 point favorite with an over/under of 48.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends:
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay’s last 11 games on the road
- Tampa Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
- Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans Saints Betting Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 6 games
- New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
- New Orleans is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
- New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
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