February 9, 2012

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USC vs Hawaii | Predictions

vs.

#14 USC Trojans at Hawaii Warriors – 11:00 PM ET on ESPN

The USC Trojans will play their first game of the Lane Kiffin Era against the Hawaii Warriors, a team that they have historically dominated scoring over 60 points in their last two meetings. Meanwhile, the Warriors return 12 starters and a pass game that was third nationally and 14th in total offense in 2009. I really don’t see USC losing this one, and if they come out fast, hard and motivated, this one could get lopsided in a hurry.

Prediction: USC – Bet Now

Odds: USC: -21 – Hawaii: +21 Over/Under: 54

The oddsmakers currently have the Trojans listed as 21½-point favorites versus the Warriors, while the game’s total is sitting at 54.

2009 Team Records:
USC: 9-4 SU, 4-9 ATS
Hawaii: 6-7 SU, 6-6 ATS

USC most recently:
When playing in September are 8-2
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the conference are 10-0

Hawaii most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the conference are 5-5

What you need to know:
Southern Cal is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Cal’s last 5 games
Southern Cal is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Cal’s last 7 games on the road
Hawaii is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Hawaii is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hawaii’s last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hawaii’s last 6 games at home

Next up:
USC home to Virginia, Saturday, September 11
Hawaii at Army, Saturday, September 11

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About Matt Martz

Matt Martz is a sportswriter for the Bakersfield Californian, the Oregonian, Springfield Republican, Sacramento Bee, and the San Diego Union Tribune. I leave handicapping to the pros. Blessed is the gambler who expects nothing, for ye shall not be disappointed.

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