October 23rd Rutgers vs Army Prediction & Odds
I imagine that it I Googled Texas/Oklahoma or USC/ND last week I would have received a million hits a good portion of which would have included some insight or a prediction about those games. As a college football fanatic and handicapper though I am often interested in games where there is not nearly as much being reported or hyperbole. Often these contests present stronger wagering opportunities because it can be harder for the books to balance action if they have not been sharp with their initial lines.
It is in that spirit that I am taking a look at the Rutgers at Army game this weekend. Rutgers (4-2) hasn’t proven anything this year other than that they can beat bad teams with inferior talent. They are 0-2 in the Big East and were badly outplayed against Cincinatti and Pittsburgh in both. Army is 3-4 but has beaten a team from the big bad SEC while dropping some games to MAC competition. Sure it was Vanderbilt but they are better than anyone Rutgers has beaten.
Army has lost their last five to Rutgers and I don’t see a winning outcome here but I think they will play hard and cover the spread which is currently at +10. They need to start fast with their ground game which has out-gained all but one foe this year. If they can jump out to an early lead they may be able to put some pressure on Rutgers who definitely has superior athletes in key spots. However, Rutgers has been playing a Freshman at QB in Tom Savage. He was picked off once last week and might be coaxed into another turnover or two.
Prediction:
Keep an eye out for Army receive Alejandro Villanueva. I found him listed online at 6’7″ and earlier in the year he was rumoured to be 6’10. Either way he just might be the biggest receiver in football anywhere and he is leading Army with 16 receptions and 4TD averaging over 15YPC. If the Black Knights has a top QB he would be totally unstoppable.
News/Notes:
- Rutgers has 7 players listed as questionable on the injury report this week.
- Army is 1-0 ATS as a home dog of 7.5 - 13.5
- Army has a new coach this year who will try and reverse trends against Rutgers from previous regime.
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